Bitcoin price rises 8 percent, September 2025 set to be best in 13 years
Bitcoin has risen 8 percent, making this September the best since 2012
Key points
Bitcoin is breaking seasonal trends by rising 8 percent, making this September the best since 2012
September 2025 would need to rise around 20 percent to become the best month in Bitcoin history
Bitcoin
BTC
around 75,000 euros
has risen more this September and those numbers are the highest since 2012, marking a new record in the bull market
Historical price data confirms that the 8 percent increase in September 2025 is the second best in its history
Bitcoin avoids the “Rektember” with 8 percent gains
September is traditionally the weakest month for Bitcoin, with average losses around 8 percent
This year, seasonal patterns are significant as historical trends demand the next bull market peak while other risk assets repeatedly set new highs
Gold and the S&P 500 are in price discovery, while BTC/USD remained stable through September after new highs the previous month
Even with “only” 8 percent, this September is the strongest in 13 years
The last time September had those numbers was in 2012.
Last year, the rise reached around 7 percent
Figures highlight a very unusual bull market year for Bitcoin
Unlike previous bull markets, BTC price volatility disappeared in 2025, against expectations based on past performance
Data shows volatility fell to levels not seen in over a decade, with a sharp drop from April
The on-chain analysis highlights the lack of severity in BTC price drops from all-time highs
Previous drops reached around 80 percent, but in 2025 the largest drop is around 30 percent
This relative lack of volatility is reflected in bull market performance; BTC/USD is struggling to compete with previous cycles
In July, reports indicated a possible 50 percent price rise following unusually low readings of the implied volatility index
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Bitcoin attempts to liquidate long positions around 115,000 USD
Markets favor short positions ahead of Federal Reserve meeting
Gold reaches new highs above 3,700 USD before correction
BTC/USD wobbled at Wall Street open while analysts pointed to possible liquidations
BTC leverage spikes with long positions at risk
Price fluctuated between 114,800 and 115,300 USD, with liquidity blocks in exchange order books
Large long liquidation groups exist below current price, around 115,000 USD
Charts show relevant “pain” levels for traders above and below spot price
High leverage remains active in the market
Traders are moving to short positions ahead of key macroeconomic event: Fed interest rate decision
Expected rate cut is around 0.25 percent
Price evolution of BTC still does not follow gold
Pre-Fed nervousness was evident in all risk assets
Gold leads the way, BTC follows with delay of several months
Year-to-date, gold increased around 40 percent, Bitcoin around 23 percent
